Gabrielle took a while to form, so there was ample warning that there WAS going to be a storm, eventually.

Invest 99
This storm is located off the coast of Florida.  While the models indicate development is possible in the next couple of days, they are mixed as to the path the storm will take.

 

Invest 99
An area of low pressure is roughly half-way between Northeast Florida and Bermuda. This system has the potential to develop tropical or subtropical characteristics over the next day or two.

It is already elevating the rip current risk along the North Carolina Outer Banks and the Virginia and Northeast Florida Coasts. The hurricane hunters are tentatively scheduled to check out this system today.

 

INVEST 99
In the Atlantic basin, an elongated area of low pressure remains nearly stationary about 400 miles west southwest of Bermuda this morning. Strong shearing winds remain overtop this area, and is not allowing for any organization into a tropical or sub-tropical system.

However, over the next 24 to 36 hours, high pressure is forecast to build overtop this area, lessening the upper-level winds. This may allow this to develop into a tropical or subtropical system, just as steering winds shift, pushing this system back toward the U.S. east coast. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate this system later today.

Accuweather is pretty sure its going to happen...

INVEST 99 - Will TODAY be the day it gets a name?
The non-tropical low midway between the Bahamas and Bermuda has not gotten any better organized today. A large trough to its west has kept strong southwesterly winds over the low preventing it from developing. Embedded within this deep trough is a tremendous amount of dry air, also preventing development at this time.

Computer models are forecasting this trough to weaken over the next 24 to 36 hours and if this occurs it would open up a window of opportunity for this low to develop as it moves back toward the coast.

Since the low drifted a little farther to the east before stalling it will take longer to get back to the U.S. coast. It may be Sunday before this system would encounter land.

 

Subtropical Storm Gabrielle (winds of 45 mph) remains off the Carolina coast about 255 miles to the southeast of Cape Lookout, North Carolina as of 11 am EDT.

Gabrielle is moving northwest at 10 mph and it may slow down a little later today or tonight. The current forecast calls for Gabrielle to approach the North Carolina coast Sunday morning then pass through the Outer Banks and off the Virginia coast by Monday morning.

Waves of up to 10 feet will also be possible in the above mentioned areas, with waves up to 15 feet possible along the North Carolina Coast by Sunday. This may result in some beach erosion, especially in North Carolina.

Showers may begin as early as tonight, but would be more likely on Sunday and Sunday night across eastern North and South Carolina. Locally heavy rainfall could bring 1 to 3 inches of rain, with isolated higher amounts.

Gabrielle is then forecast to move northeast, away from the U.S. east coast early next week.

All interests along the Southeast U.S. Coast, especially in the Carolinas, should continue to monitor the latest forecast through the weekend.
 

The center of T. S. Gabrielle (50 mph) is crossing the North Carolina coast now, but is producing only minimal effects. At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of Gabrielle was located about 20 miles ENE of Cape Lookout.

Tropical storm warnings remain posted from Surf City, North Carolina, to Cape Charles Light, Virginia, including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.

A tropical storm watch extends north of the warning area, from Cape Charles Light, Virginia, to New Point Comfort, Virginia, in the southern Chesapeake Bay.

Waves of 8 to 10 feet will roll into the Outer Banks this afternoon. Surge should not be more than one to two feet, however. Some minor beach erosion may occur.

Locally heavy rainfall could leave 1 to 3 inches on the Outer Banks.

Overall, the effects from Gabrielle are expected to remain minimal.

Tomorrow, Gabrielle is forecast to move northeastward, away from the U.S., remaining well south of New England.

Gabrielle continues to move away from the East Coast. As of 5 a.m. Eastern time, the center of now Tropical Depression Gabrielle was located about 140 miles north-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina near 37.0 North, 74.4 West. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 miles per hour. Gabrielle was moving to the northeast near 12 miles per hour. Minimum pressure is 1009 millibars.

Gabrielle's heaviest rains were confined mostly to coastal North Carolina, particularly around the Beaufort and Morehead City area of Carteret County near the southern end of the Outer Banks, where over seven inches of rain fell over the weekend due to Gabrielle. Other drought-plagued areas in North Carolina were not as fortunate to see much, if any, rainfall at all.

Gabrielle's main impact today will be an elevated risk of rip currents from the south side of Long Island southward to much of North Carolina's Coast.

 

Tropical Depression Gabrielle continues to move away from the U.S. East Coast. Gabrielle is expected to be absorbed by a frontal boundary over the next couple of days. As of 5 am Eastern time, the center of Gabrielle was located near 39.0 North, 66.8 West, which is about 235 miles southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Gabrielle is moving to the east-northeast near 21 miles per hour. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 miles per hour. Minimum pressure is 1008 millibars.

Around noon EST, Gabrielle was determined to be non-tropical, and dropped from the NHC's list.

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